Learning Curve: How Will Louisville, Maryland and Rutgers Fare in New Digs?

More than half of the Big East Conference's 14-member lineup in 2003-04 are gone upon all of the league realignments. The American Athletic Conference, a splinter group of the Big East, looks more like Conference USA's 2004-05 alignment than anything else. If the C-USA wasn't considered a power league, then why should a stitched-together AAC?

Louisville, Maryland and Rutgers should have kept an eye on how Creighton and Syracuse made the transition to new digs last season with second-place finishes. History shows that it frequently is a difficult adjustment. There is good reason to be anxious. Only 12 of the last 34 schools to join power conferences, including eight of the last 21 since 2005-06, posted a winning league record in their inaugural campaign.

Arkansas is the only school to win a championship in its debut campaign in a power league (1991-92 in SEC Western Division after leaving SWC). The average conference record for the last 34 schools in this category is four games below .500. Michigan State posted a comparable anemic mark (5-9) in its first season in the Big Ten in 1950-51.

Following is an alphabetical list of first-year league records compiled by schools joining an existing power alliance since Arizona and Arizona State left the WAC for the Pac-8/10 in the late 1970s:

Power School 1st Year New League (Mark/Finish) Previous League
Arizona 1978-79 Pac-10 (10-8/T4th) Western Athletic
Arizona State 1978-79 Pac-10 (7-11/T6th) Western Athletic
Arkansas 1991-92 Southeastern (13-3/1st in West Division) Southwest
Boston College 2005-06 Atlantic Coast (11-5/3rd) Big East
Butler 2013-14 Big East (4-14/9th) Atlantic 10
Cincinnati 2005-06 Big East (8-8/8th) Conference USA
Colorado 2011-12 Pac-12 (11-7/T5th) Big 12
Creighton 2013-14 Big East (14-4/2nd) Missouri Valley
DePaul 2005-06 Big East (5-11/T13th) Conference USA
Florida State 1991-92 Atlantic Coast (11-5/2nd) Metro
Georgia Tech 1979-80 Atlantic Coast (1-13/8th) Metro
Louisville 2005-06 Big East (6-10/T11th) Conference USA
Louisville 2014-15 Atlantic Coast (TBD) American Athletic
Marquette 2005-06 Big East (10-6/T4th) Conference USA
Maryland 2014-15 Big Ten (TBD) Atlantic Coast
Miami (Fla.) 1991-92 Big East (1-17/10th) independent
Miami (Fla.) 2004-05 Atlantic Coast (7-9/T6th) Big East
Missouri 2012-13 Southeastern (11-7/T5th) Big 12
Nebraska 2011-12 Big Ten (4-14/T11th) Big 12
Notre Dame 1995-96 Big East (4-14/6th in BE 6) independent
Notre Dame 2013-14 Atlantic Coast (6-12/T11th) Big East
Penn State 1992-93 Big Ten (2-16/11th) Atlantic 10
Pittsburgh 1982-83 Big East (6-10/6th) Eastern 8
Pittsburgh 2013-14 Atlantic Coast (11-7/5th) Big East
Rutgers 1995-96 Big East (6-12/6th in BE 7) Atlantic 10
Rutgers 2014-15 Big Ten (TBD) American Athletic
South Carolina 1991-92 Southeastern (3-13/6th in East Division) Metro
South Florida 2005-06 Big East (1-15/16th) Conference USA
Syracuse 2013-14 Atlantic Coast (14-4/2nd) Big East
Texas A&M 2012-13 Southeastern (7-11/11th) Big 12
Texas Christian 2012-13 Big 12 (2-16/10th) Mountain West
Utah 2011-12 Pac-12 (3-15/11th) Mountain West
Villanova 1980-81 Big East (8-6/T3rd) Eastern Athletic Association
Virginia Tech 2000-01 Big East (2-14/7th in East Division) Atlantic 10
Virginia Tech 2004-05 Atlantic Coast (8-8/T4th) Big East
West Virginia 2012-13 Big 12 (6-12/8th) Big East
Xavier 2013-14 Big East (10-8/T3rd) Atlantic 10